Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.331549 0.438745 0.556334 0.692873 0.845243 1.008477 1.195087
2025-06-22 0.170879 0.303778 0.469064 0.679053 0.930150 1.213909 1.552695
2025-06-29 0.093510 0.225836 0.410376 0.661474 0.976039 1.343399 1.793061
2025-07-06 0.059804 0.194595 0.401941 0.698722 1.082395 1.539933 2.108554
2025-07-13 0.039461 0.175109 0.403399 0.743817 1.194512 1.740210 2.425720
2025-07-20 0.024384 0.157156 0.402579 0.782730 1.296668 1.927035 2.726017
2025-07-27 0.017858 0.154551 0.424023 0.851429 1.436512 2.159562 3.080729
2025-08-03 0.010502 0.143596 0.429336 0.895742 1.543606 2.351187 3.386042
2025-08-10 0.003299 0.121031 0.410522 0.902471 1.599315 2.477816 3.612007
2025-08-17 NaN 0.083898 0.356286 0.851063 1.573389 2.499465 3.708204
2025-08-24 NaN 0.052494 0.301843 0.792689 1.533440 2.500088 3.775988
2025-08-31 NaN 0.036301 0.274202 0.773500 1.545436 2.565344 3.921912
2025-09-07 NaN 0.028875 0.267885 0.791870 1.614554 2.709910 4.173686
2025-09-14 NaN 0.018433 0.246667 0.782680 1.643626 2.802703 4.362000
2025-09-21 NaN 0.009530 0.221135 0.762188 1.653890 2.869034 4.515545
2025-09-28 NaN 0.008395 0.228359 0.802718 1.754993 3.056274 4.822356
2025-10-05 NaN 0.008061 0.239634 0.851051 1.867927 3.259470 5.149629
2025-10-12 NaN 0.007224 0.247535 0.892820 1.971031 3.449648 5.460570
2025-10-19 NaN 0.008998 0.271624 0.966333 2.122338 3.704648 5.854230
2025-10-26 NaN 0.008587 0.282278 1.013663 2.234124 3.906811 6.180873
2025-11-02 NaN 0.005377 0.272688 1.020842 2.284863 4.026997 6.403190
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000809 0.233687 0.965944 2.239067 4.016042 6.457337
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.194021 0.903483 2.178257 3.982535 6.480841